The Internet Revolution: Some
effects
We are truly at the beginning of a revolution
triggered by the Internet. Here are some of the effects we already see.
Please fill the form below to suggest additions to this list.
- E-Commerce:
- Internet shopping
in December 1998 has tripled from the same year-ago figure, a validation
that e-commerce is taking off. Several projections indicate that e-commerce will hit $23 billion
within 2002.
- A ".com" in 1998 drew billions of Wall Street
investment money and millions of venture capital money for
startups.
- Dell and Cisco report multi-million dollar-a-day sales at
their web-stores, a validation of the direct-distribution strategy.
- Enterprise software companies like Siebel, Vantive and Clarify
sell front-end software plug-ins to corporations which have installed enterprise
resource planning (ERP) software packages such as SAP, Peoplesoft, J D
Edwards etc. Companies like I2 technologies, Manugistics etc integrate
supply-chains.
- The US government has backed off from taxing
e-commerce for the next 2-3 years allowing the medium to grow.
- Software
from netbots like Junglee (now owned by Amazon.com) enable
comparison shopping and drive prices down on undifferentiated products.
- On-line financial services (brokerage, banking, loans) has
rocketed pioneered by Schwab, E*trade, Citibank and others.
- Shipping
companies like Fedex, UPS & Postal services are gearing for
huge growth in shipments powered by e-commerce.
- Visions: A true
interactive medium seamlessly binding corporations to their customers at
the front-end and to their suppliers at the back-end on a 24x7 basis.
- Mass Media
- Hotmail reports its 30
millionth customer -- a base grown in less than 3 years,
the fastest customer base growth illustrating the power of
the word "free".
- Real networks report that over 40 million folks have downloaded
their real player software for streaming audio and video.
- AOL, Yahoo!,
Excite and Microsoft are vying for a piece of this action through portal
and access+content bundles.
- Success of "You Got Mail" further drives mass
media towards Internet.
- Even in less-developed countries India, cafes and
corner copier-service stores are turning into
cyber-cafes.
- This combined with plummeting PC prices, and new forms of
access like Web-TV, net-enabled wireless devices
(PalmPilot), and platform-independent lightweight software (eg:
in Java) will provide the economics for Internet
growth.
- Visions: leveraging this customer base for related value-added product
sales/upgrades/targeted advertising & sales(eg: voice email, real-player-plus,
consumer device sales, targeted marketing etc). With improved media-coding
and streaming, multicasting and quality-of-service (QoS) infrastructure
support , streaming applications like TV-like broadcasting
will follow.
IP telephony, Differentiated data
services:
- Telephone carriers are expected to move from a current business
model which has a majority of their revenue from voice services
(and data services are low margin and non-differentiated) to a model where
majority of their revenue comes from selling differentiated, high-margin
data services.
- Next-generation carriers like Qwest,
Level-3 communications, Williams Cos and even ISPs are battling with a
resurgent MCI-Worldcom, AT&T and Sprint to provide not only raw bandwidth,
but different types of data services -- laying fiber is no longer a barrier
to entry given the market potential.
- Small-scale infrastructure pioneers
like Inktomi and Exodus are filling in storage, search, reliability and
caching needs of ISPs.
- Startups like Ciena, Juniper, Avici, Nexabit, Plexis
are eyeing the tera-bit transmission and routing equipment business
and will compete against the Ciscos and Lucents.
- Visions: Revolutionary
changes in telecommunications infrastructure, data services pricing are
expected over the next year or two. IP telephony will become a reality
for the masses in the next two years.
Give your suggestions for effects/visions
of the Internet revolution:
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